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Sunday, January 6, 2008

Globes Not So Golden

Tough news for the HFPA the other day regarding the broadcast of the Golden Globes. Apparently, NBC is forcing them to broadcast the show even though SAG announced that they will not participate. How bad will be the Globes? I can only imagine now. The awards show has never been something to brag about. There's no host and it's always more straightforward. Still, the show should be horrible this year due to the strike. I don't think NBC is too worried about ratings, but still it's not going to be pretty. Though, I do applaud the WGA for making a strong stand. Let's hope they don't fold and grant the waiver now.

Here are the updated charts:

Golden Globes Predictions 1/6

BEST PICTURE - DRAMA: "Atonement"

BEST PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY: "Sweeney Todd"

BEST ACTOR - DRAMA: Daniel Day-Lewis, "There Will Be Blood"
BEST ACTRESS - DRAMA: Julie Christie, "Away from Her"

BEST ACTOR - MUSICAL OR COMEDY: Johnny Depp, "Sweeney Todd"

BEST ACTRESS - MUSICAL OR COMEDY: Marion Cotillard, "La Vie en Rose"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Javier Bardem, "No Country for Old Men"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Cate Blanchett, "I'm Not There"

BEST DIRECTOR: Ethan and Joel Coen, "No Country for Old Men"

BEST SCREENPLAY: Christopher Hampton, "Atonement"

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: Dario Marianelli, "Atonement"

BEST ORIGNAL SONG: "Walk Hard", "Walk Hard"

BEST ANIMATED FILM: "Ratatouille"

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: "The Diving Bell and the Butterfly"



Updated Oscar BEST PICTURE 1/6

The Nominees:
1. (2) "No Country for Old Men"

2. (1) "Atonement"

3. (4) "There Will Be Blood"

4. (3) "Michael Clayton"

5. (5) "Sweeney Todd"

On the Bubble:

6. (6) "Into the Wild"

7. (7) "Juno"

8. (8) "The Diving Bell and the Butterfly"

9. (9) "American Gangster"

The Outsiders:

10. (10)"Charlie Wilson's War"

11. (11) "The Great Debaters"


ANALYSIS:
You have to love what's going on with "There Will Be Blood" right now (at least I do) between a big win with the NSFC the other day and an incredible gross for two theaters (almost $100,000 per theater) after opening. Here's the thing to remember about the Oscars. Voting is odd (don't feel like explaining here) and first place votes are extremely important. There are some people in Hollywood that hate this film, but there are plenty of people who absolutely love it. Hell, Sasha Stone is now calling it the frontrunner and when I see it again after I return to California, I might finally put it on top. Also, a lot of buzz continues for films such as "Into the Wild" and "Juno". I've even been hearing about an Ellen Page win at the Globes. "Sweeney Todd" and "Michael Clayton" are still in the mix, but they have begun to wane. I'm starting to worry about "Atonement" even more due to its reception not being as positive as I thought. People like it, but not love it. For that reason, "No Country for Old Men" is my new frontrunner.



Random Oscar Thoughts:


- The biggest question for the Oscars is whether it will get a waiver from the WGA? From a huge awards fan's perspective, I hope so. From a member of the film industry, I feel the WGA needs to stand firm and picket the broadcast. The WGA already rejected the Globes, so should the Oscars be any different?
- It would be amazing to me if the battle for best picture comes down to Anderson's "Blood" and the Coen's "No Country". Why? Well, both are very dark and violent films in their own right. It's not that the Academy hasn't honored these types of films in the past, it's just not very common either.
- Since I've been following the awards season (2000-present), I can't remember a year that so many major races are really up in the air after the new year. Look at last year for example, best actress (Mirren), best actor (Whitaker), and best supporting actress (Hudson) were already wrapped up by now. You could make an argument that none are right now.

I'll have one more updated chart and predictions before the Golden Globes, which are set to take place next Sunday.

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